The Texans have won four games in row (including a 24-14 win over the Jags in Houston) and they had an extra week to get ready for the re-match in Jacksonville. The Jaguars have won 2 of their last four games as they are playing their best football of the season. Here is a look at the matchups in this game:
When the Texans have the ball: The Texans are likely going to be more run heavy than usual in Matt Leinart’s first start at QB, and it makes perfect sense. Arian Foster (740 yards rushing) and Ben Tate (686 yards rushing) will share the load in this game against a Jaguars’ D that is allowing 111.2 yards rushing per game and 4.1 yards per carry. The Texans’ O-Line has only given up 16 sacks so far this year, so Leinart should have time to throw the ball. WR Andre Johnson will be Leinart’s #1 target as he is making his first start in six weeks. TE Owen Daniels and WR Kevin Walter will give Leinart options if he’s in a hurry to get rid of the ball.
When the Jaguars have the ball: The Jaguars are going to come out feeding the ball to Maurice Jones-Drew in this game. The Texans are going to have to sell out to stop him and force rookie QB Blaine Gabbert to beat them with his arm. Gabbert has played decent in his last two games, but he was horrible in the first game with the Texans when he completed 10 of 30 passes for only 97 yards. The Jaguars got TE Marcedes Lewis involved more in the offense last weekend, so the safeties better be ready to deal with him this Sunday.
PREDICTION: TEXANS 24, JAGUARS 7